Observe, Learn, Act

To share and learn trading ideas on stocks, options, futures, warrants, forex, etc ... Mainly dedicated in analyzing Tech

Saturday, November 29, 2008

Which would you rather trade?























For your interest, I have computed the 1-min Green/Red bars transition matrices for NDX & RUT.  The result is:

RUT
R G
R 67% 33%
G 26% 74%

NDX
R     G
R 48% 52%
G 44% 56%

For RUT, if the current bar is red, it is about 2/3 of the chance the next bar will be red as well, green to green about 3/4.  The trend is much stronger than NDX where the transition matrix has entries basically random.

No comments: