Observe, Learn, Act

To share and learn trading ideas on stocks, options, futures, warrants, forex, etc ... Mainly dedicated in analyzing Tech

Tuesday, January 27, 2009

Crude down big time

Crude Oil fund USO down over 8% today, my position in DXO was stopped out at the no-loss price ... I guess Obama has been promoting alternative energy so even when Energy is up while crude is down big time.

Sector Trends:
Material =
Energy +
Financials =
Industrial +
C. Staples +
Utilities +
Health Care +
C. Discretionary =
Dollar -
Agriculture -
Biotech +
Real Estate +
Crude -
Gold +

Monday, January 26, 2009

Bearish Leading Sectors

Financials, Industrial, Consumer Discretionary








































Bullish Leading Sectors

Energy including crude, Agriculture, Utilities























































Wednesday, January 21, 2009

Triple Leveraged Bearish Financial

A huge down day on this while the XLF was up by a fraction of this.  How can this deleveraging be avoided?





Tuesday, January 20, 2009

Financials

As I had some 3X leveraged short on the financials, but sold all on last last Friday, either wise would made a fortune...

Friday, January 16, 2009

Trades & Sector Leaders

Today I have entered several new bullish positions, on China, Health Care Sector, Biotech.

Market leaders are commodities, biotech & health care.
Market laggers are industrial & financials.





TQ Index

Jan 16th, 2009 EOD value is 0.524

Thursday, January 15, 2009

TQ Index

EOD value for Jan 15th is 0.403

Wednesday, January 14, 2009

Energy Bull Trap

I mentioned that I have entered a small position in Energy and Health care on the 13th, I have exited both positions on 14th due to reversal.  Let's review if we could have prevent the trap.
























































We see that although the 15min charts showed bullishness on the 13th, however in the longer term chart, the 60min ones, it is actually still showing bearishness.

Sectors Leading the Markets Up:  Energy, Health Care, Utilities
Sectors Leading the Markets Down:  Financials, Consumer Staples, Industrials, Real Estate

TQ Index

Introducing TQ Index ...

Today's EOD TQ Index Value is 0.124

Tuesday, January 13, 2009

Sectors Reversals?!

As the S&P500 consolidating, some sectors became leading the S&P back up.  These are consumer staples, energy, health care.  Financials & Real Estate had a good run up but were pushed back down afternoon.  I have entered a couple of small positions, bullish in energy & health care via ERX & RXL.







Saturday, January 10, 2009

Agriculture DBA

It seems like it is running away from the S&P500 ...



EUR/USD
















It looks like the price is bouncing around the important retracement region ... which way is it going to go???

Friday, January 9, 2009

My Watch List & Trades



















The list I constantly watching ... most are in red, the top 7 are the positions I open, all short except Euro.


















Below are the trades I took this week, 6 positions in total, I have wiped out the size of the positions and other stuff but other relevant info are there.

















Thursday, January 8, 2009

Positions

Right now I have 7 positions opened:

Long:  EUR/USD
Short:  Real Estate, Financials, Energy, Material, Far East Region, Small Cap Index

Real Estate & Financials are the two that are strongly bearish .. 

Wednesday, January 7, 2009

3X Leveraged ETF's

Direxion Shares is offering a list of 3X leveraged ETF's
BGU/BGZ  Russell 1000 large cap
TNA/TZA  Russell 2000 small cap
FAS/FAZ  Russell 1000 financial
ERX/ERY Russell 1000 energy
DZK/DPK MSCI EAFE Index
EDC/EDZ MSCI Emerging Markets Index
TYH/TYP Russell 1000 Technology Index Index


Positions

Today I opened several positions, bearish via leveraged inverse ETF's of sectors/regions:

IWM, EFA, XLB.

Along with existing bearish leveraged positions:

IYR, XLE, XLF.

Long position on EUR/USD.


















Tuesday, January 6, 2009

Sectors

The Real Estate index is bouncing around into a huge gain.







The Euro/USD is between its 50-62.8% retracement zone ...






The Energy and the Financials are up but relatively flat during the course of the session








Only 2 of the sectors I am following were bearish today, Health Care & Utilities.
















Monday, January 5, 2009

Positions Opened






















I have been lazy in updating my blog, today I have opened 3 bearish small positions, with leveraged inverse ETF's.  (SRS, ERY, FAZ) ...