Observe, Learn, Act

To share and learn trading ideas on stocks, options, futures, warrants, forex, etc ... Mainly dedicated in analyzing Tech
Showing posts with label Sectors. Show all posts
Showing posts with label Sectors. Show all posts

Monday, March 2, 2009

New low on XLE, XLV continues to break down

My only open position is shorting Canadian banking sector via HFD.TO, currently up 10% from Friday's close.


Health care sector all of a sudden breaking down completely as Obama announced new health plan.







Energy made a new low today, interesting to see other sectors coming down w/ the financials.  Crude was coming down from temporarily overbought territory







Wednesday, February 18, 2009

Financials

I want to show a very interesting relationship, the FAZ, is the triple inverse of the financial index $DJFN, for simplicity let me use the XLF, ETF that tracks the $SPF instead.

We see that in this period of 3 months, XLF had 4 significant tops.  The 3rd top is much lower than the previous two, however the FAZ bottoms are very close to one another.  And it seems to be quite risky to enter it once it is above $40...but gain is substantial if you are on the right side

Friday, January 16, 2009

Trades & Sector Leaders

Today I have entered several new bullish positions, on China, Health Care Sector, Biotech.

Market leaders are commodities, biotech & health care.
Market laggers are industrial & financials.





Wednesday, January 14, 2009

Energy Bull Trap

I mentioned that I have entered a small position in Energy and Health care on the 13th, I have exited both positions on 14th due to reversal.  Let's review if we could have prevent the trap.
























































We see that although the 15min charts showed bullishness on the 13th, however in the longer term chart, the 60min ones, it is actually still showing bearishness.

Sectors Leading the Markets Up:  Energy, Health Care, Utilities
Sectors Leading the Markets Down:  Financials, Consumer Staples, Industrials, Real Estate

Tuesday, January 13, 2009

Sectors Reversals?!

As the S&P500 consolidating, some sectors became leading the S&P back up.  These are consumer staples, energy, health care.  Financials & Real Estate had a good run up but were pushed back down afternoon.  I have entered a couple of small positions, bullish in energy & health care via ERX & RXL.







Thursday, January 8, 2009

Positions

Right now I have 7 positions opened:

Long:  EUR/USD
Short:  Real Estate, Financials, Energy, Material, Far East Region, Small Cap Index

Real Estate & Financials are the two that are strongly bearish .. 

Wednesday, January 7, 2009

3X Leveraged ETF's

Direxion Shares is offering a list of 3X leveraged ETF's
BGU/BGZ  Russell 1000 large cap
TNA/TZA  Russell 2000 small cap
FAS/FAZ  Russell 1000 financial
ERX/ERY Russell 1000 energy
DZK/DPK MSCI EAFE Index
EDC/EDZ MSCI Emerging Markets Index
TYH/TYP Russell 1000 Technology Index Index


Positions

Today I opened several positions, bearish via leveraged inverse ETF's of sectors/regions:

IWM, EFA, XLB.

Along with existing bearish leveraged positions:

IYR, XLE, XLF.

Long position on EUR/USD.


















Monday, January 5, 2009

Positions Opened






















I have been lazy in updating my blog, today I have opened 3 bearish small positions, with leveraged inverse ETF's.  (SRS, ERY, FAZ) ...