Observe, Learn, Act

To share and learn trading ideas on stocks, options, futures, warrants, forex, etc ... Mainly dedicated in analyzing Tech

Friday, October 31, 2008

Why was Goldman Sachs falling when the markets were climbing?

GS is one of the few that went down hard on Thursday while in general the markets were up including financials ... what is going to happen???





Wednesday, October 29, 2008

Nasdaq-100 index movement Oct 29th, 2008

I wanted to show what happen to price when faced resistence.  Below is the intraday chart for NDX and its daily chart.  The daily chart actually got to the 20EMA resistence, from the intraday chart we can see how strong the resistence was.  The bulls were slammed twice after 3pm


Tuesday, October 28, 2008

AIG & WaMu (WM)












For WaMu, April 14th, 2008 was the last time a bullish signal can be hoped for, from that point and all, all the signals are pointing down.  The moving averages are all in bearish orientation.  There was absolutely no reason that I can think of to be bullish on WaMu.
















Now for AIG, the last time the MACD indicator was positive was the beginning of May, 2008.  However the other indicators did not point to a bullish signal, therefore we were not supposed to be bullish at all at this stock, at least nowhere in 2008.  There were actually quite a some short opportunities for these financial stocks.  If you are afraid the risk of a short squeeze when shorting, then you can pay the premium of owning its put option contracts at some out of the money strike prices then all you will risk is the premium you pay for the option contract.